Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Janmark on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Janmark wins 30.8% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Janmark 43.0% vs Schmaltz 44.0% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Janmark 53.1%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 52.5%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 55.4%
Result
Mattias Janmark favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Janmark
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Janmark
Schmaltz
Last 5: Janmark 2-3 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Janmark
2
1
Janmark
Schmaltz
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Janmark
Schmaltz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Janmark
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Janmark
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
29.1% (55)
42.5% (485)
-13.4%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
45.1% (51)
-20.1%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (6)
100.0% (1)
-33.3%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Janmark is 30.8% vs right-shot opponents (26).
Janmark shoots left. Schmaltz is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (419).
Home / Away
Janmark
Schmaltz
Home
26.3% (19)
45.0% (258)
Away
34.8% (46)
40.9% (279)
By Period
Janmark
Schmaltz
P1
43.5%
47.0%
P2
20.0%
42.7%
P3
37.5%
38.4%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
47.4%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Janmark
34.0%▼
39.0%
32.3%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2021 | 3 | 18:08 | Offensive | Mattias Janmark |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 2 | 19:11 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 2 | 05:15 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 1 | 03:48 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 1 | 01:28 | Offensive | Mattias Janmark |