Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.1% vs Beniers 42.9% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 76.6%
Defensive zone
Lazar 58.8%
Neutral zone
Beniers 63.6%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 61.7%
38.3%
61.7%
Lazar
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lazar
Beniers
Last 5: Lazar 2-3 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
0
1
Lazar
Beniers
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Beniers
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
2
Lazar
Beniers
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (242)
42.3% (879)
+10.6%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
40.3% (72)
+59.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (27)
44.4% (18)
-11.1%
On power play, Lazar has a +59.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Lazar is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (202).
Lazar shoots right. Beniers is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (371).
Home / Away
Lazar
Beniers
Home
57.1% (119)
43.8% (495)
Away
47.1% (153)
40.5% (474)
By Period
Lazar
Beniers
P1
53.1%
43.3%
P2
52.2%
45.6%
P3
48.8%
38.2%
Final 5 min
42.0%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
51.5%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 11:52 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 1 | 18:20 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 1 | 14:12 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 1 | 11:39 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 13:48 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |