Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Draisaitl wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.5% vs Beniers 47.6% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 93.5%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 85.2%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 93.7%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 91.4%
91.4%
8.6%
Draisaitl
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Draisaitl
Beniers
Last 8: Draisaitl 7-1 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
5
1
Draisaitl
Beniers
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
0
Draisaitl
Beniers
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (1,010)
47.3% (945)
+10.1%
Power Play
56.2% (331)
51.7% (145)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (110)
23.8% (21)
+30.7%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +30.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (894).
Draisaitl shoots left. Beniers is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (718).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Beniers
Home
56.4% (734)
49.6% (565)
Away
57.5% (717)
45.2% (546)
By Period
Draisaitl
Beniers
P1
55.6%
48.0%
P2
62.1%
49.0%
P3
52.4%
46.5%
OT
61.5%
23.5%
Final 5 min
55.6%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 16:53 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 18:10 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 18:03 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 2 | 11:29 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 2 | 05:50 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 14:04 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 08:53 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 01:12 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |