Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Beniers wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 49.4% vs Zibanejad 51.6% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 72.6%
Defensive zone
Beniers 58.0%
Neutral zone
Beniers 59.0%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
Beniers
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
8
(8 meetings)
0
8
Beniers
Zibanejad
Last 8: Beniers 0-8 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Beniers
Zibanejad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
5
Beniers
Zibanejad
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Beniers
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (833)
53.4% (770)
-4.5%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
46.2% (39)
+12.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
44.7% (141)
+5.3%
On power play, Beniers has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Beniers is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Beniers shoots left. Zibanejad is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Beniers
Zibanejad
Home
52.4% (460)
49.0% (429)
Away
46.0% (441)
54.1% (521)
By Period
Beniers
Zibanejad
P1
48.4%
53.0%
P2
51.1%
51.1%
P3
47.8%
51.0%
OT
66.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
49.3%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 16:21 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 16:02 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 05:21 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 00:36 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 11:40 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 10:46 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 08:52 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 19:49 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |