Scouting Report
Matty Beniers holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Beniers wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 46.7% vs Boyd 44.1% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 54.9%
Defensive zone
Boyd 56.9%
Neutral zone
Boyd 53.8%
Result
Travis Boyd favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Beniers
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Beniers
Boyd
Last 9: Beniers 4-5 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
2
1
Beniers
Boyd
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyd
1
2
Beniers
Boyd
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyd
1
2
Beniers
Boyd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (3,796)
44.4% (2,186)
+2.2%
Power Play
47.8% (360)
46.5% (256)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (111)
35.6% (208)
+5.8%
On penalty kill, Beniers has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Beniers is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,447).
Beniers shoots left. Boyd is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,838).
Home / Away
Beniers
Boyd
Home
48.9% (2,195)
46.3% (1,327)
Away
44.2% (2,072)
41.5% (1,324)
By Period
Beniers
Boyd
P1
47.4%
41.7%
P2
47.1%
46.2%
P3
45.7%
44.0%
OT
34.1%
22.2%
Final 5 min
46.2%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.6%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2023 | 3 | 08:48 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 3 | 08:38 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 3 | 08:30 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 2 | 16:10 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 2 | 06:02 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 1 | 06:38 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 12:56 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Apr 3, 2023 | 2 | 14:31 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Apr 3, 2023 | 1 | 12:10 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |