Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.2% vs 46.3%). Look for Bourque on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 46.7% vs Bourque 47.1% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sillinger 59.4%
Defensive zone
Sillinger 51.1%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 55.5%
Result
Cole Sillinger favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Sillinger
Bourque
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Sillinger
Bourque
Last 6: Sillinger 1-5 Bourque
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bourque
0
1
Sillinger
Bourque
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bourque
0
3
Sillinger
Bourque
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Sillinger
Bourque
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Bourque
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (535)
46.7% (321)
-0.2%
Power Play
46.7% (30)
33.3% (6)
+13.4%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (85)
42.9% (21)
+0.6%
On power play, Sillinger has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bourque shoots right. Sillinger is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (209).
Sillinger shoots left. Bourque is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (269).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Bourque
Home
48.7% (339)
51.0% (157)
Away
43.4% (311)
42.4% (191)
By Period
Sillinger
Bourque
P1
46.3%
44.2%
P2
47.9%
44.7%
P3
44.0%
49.6%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.7%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
46.2%
Bourque
50.0%▲
46.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 16:58 | Defensive | Mavrik Bourque |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 11:10 | Offensive | Mavrik Bourque |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 03:53 | Defensive | Mavrik Bourque |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 09:37 | Neutral | Mavrik Bourque |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 03:23 | Defensive | Mavrik Bourque |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 00:30 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |