Dalibor Dvorsky vs Mavrik Bourque
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dalibor Dvorsky holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Dvorsky wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bourque shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorsky 46.9% vs Bourque 46.7% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorsky 64.2%
Defensive zone
Bourque 68.3%
Neutral zone
Dvorsky 53.8%
Result
Dalibor Dvorsky favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Dvorsky
Bourque
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Dvorsky
Bourque
Last 5: Dvorsky 3-2 Bourque
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorsky
Bourque
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bourque
0
1
Dvorsky
Bourque
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorsky
2
0
Dvorsky
Bourque
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorsky
Bourque
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (514)
47.0% (181)
+0.1%
Power Play
41.7% (72)
25.0% (16)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
42.9% (7)
+7.1%
On power play, Dvorsky has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bourque shoots right. Dvorsky is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Dvorsky shoots left. Bourque is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Dvorsky
Bourque
Home
46.6% (264)
41.9% (105)
Away
46.3% (324)
48.5% (99)
By Period
Dvorsky
Bourque
P1
48.3%
39.7%
P2
44.7%
39.3%
P3
46.3%
52.9%
Final 5 min
42.5%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorsky
36.0%▼
42.5%
46.4%
Bourque
50.0%▲
46.0%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 11:05 | Neutral | Dalibor Dvorsky |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 03:26 | Offensive | Mavrik Bourque |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 00:16 | Defensive | Mavrik Bourque |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dalibor Dvorsky |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 04:23 | Offensive | Dalibor Dvorsky |