Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Richardson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Richardson wins 57.5% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 50.8% vs Domi 48.8% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 75.2%
Defensive zone
Richardson 60.4%
Neutral zone
Richardson 50.3%
Result
Brad Richardson favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Richardson
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Richardson
Domi
Last 7: Richardson 3-4 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
0
1
Richardson
Domi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
2
1
Richardson
Domi
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
1
2
Richardson
Domi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (107)
48.2% (363)
+6.9%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
55.6% (27)
-22.3%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (38)
33.3% (6)
+8.8%
On power play, Domi has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Richardson is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (87).
Richardson shoots left. Domi is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (273).
Home / Away
Richardson
Domi
Home
56.5% (92)
51.5% (227)
Away
42.9% (56)
44.4% (169)
By Period
Richardson
Domi
P1
62.1%
49.2%
P2
46.0%
45.7%
P3
42.5%
51.7%
Final 5 min
60.0%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
51.4%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 07:26 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 13:04 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 09:47 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 15:22 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 08:29 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 03:51 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 3 | 14:08 | Defensive | Max Domi |