Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on neutral-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Domi wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 45.3% vs Backstrom 48.7% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Backstrom leads 14-4 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Domi 68.5%
Defensive zone
Domi 61.8%
Neutral zone
Domi 62.0%
Result
Max Domi favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Domi
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
14
(18 meetings)
4
14
Domi
Backstrom
Last 10: Domi 3-7 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
3
2
Domi
Backstrom
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
5
Domi
Backstrom
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
7
Domi
Backstrom
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (826)
48.5% (1,151)
-4.9%
Power Play
51.6% (157)
50.0% (176)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
48.2% (112)
-2.0%
On even strength, Backstrom has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Domi is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (705).
Domi shoots left. Backstrom is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Home / Away
Domi
Backstrom
Home
46.4% (524)
50.8% (783)
Away
43.2% (472)
46.0% (656)
By Period
Domi
Backstrom
P1
45.2%
49.3%
P2
42.7%
46.6%
P3
47.1%
50.1%
OT
38.5%
42.9%
Final 5 min
46.4%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
44.9%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 18:36 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 16:18 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 09:32 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 03:45 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 00:47 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 3 | 17:56 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 2 | 12:20 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 2 | 10:12 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 2 | 00:20 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 1 | 13:39 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 1 | 07:22 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 3 | 14:52 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 3 | 09:43 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 2 | 06:49 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 2 | 00:32 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 1 | 08:29 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 1 | 08:23 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 1 | 04:04 | Offensive | Max Domi |