Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Domi wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 45.3% vs Bergeron 56.1% (-11.7%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Domi 86.0%
Defensive zone
Domi 85.3%
Neutral zone
Domi 89.2%
Result
Max Domi favored at 86.1%
86.1%
13.9%
Domi
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Domi
Bergeron
Last 10: Domi 2-8 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
6
Domi
Bergeron
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
2
Domi
Bergeron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
1
0
Domi
Bergeron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (826)
56.2% (940)
-12.6%
Power Play
51.6% (157)
61.6% (284)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
50.3% (165)
-4.1%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Domi is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (291).
Domi shoots left. Bergeron is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (928).
Home / Away
Domi
Bergeron
Home
46.4% (524)
57.7% (712)
Away
43.2% (472)
55.4% (677)
By Period
Domi
Bergeron
P1
45.2%
55.0%
P2
42.7%
57.1%
P3
47.1%
58.2%
OT
38.5%
48.1%
Final 5 min
46.4%
58.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
44.9%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2019 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 2 | 15:12 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 2 | 11:33 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 3 | 17:38 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 3 | 17:01 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 3 | 11:24 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 3 | 00:32 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 2 | 09:03 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 2 | 06:36 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 2 | 01:00 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |