Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Domi wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 48.8% vs Kesler 55.9% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 14-6 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Domi 89.5%
Defensive zone
Domi 84.0%
Neutral zone
Domi 87.8%
Result
Max Domi favored at 86.5%
86.5%
13.5%
Domi
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
14
(20 meetings)
6
14
Domi
Kesler
Last 10: Domi 3-7 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
2
1
Domi
Kesler
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
6
Domi
Kesler
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
7
Domi
Kesler
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (4,296)
56.4% (8,095)
-8.3%
Power Play
53.4% (633)
60.7% (1,437)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (41)
50.5% (1,908)
-1.7%
On even strength, Kesler has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Domi is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,629).
Domi shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Domi
Kesler
Home
49.7% (2,604)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
47.8% (2,366)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Domi
Kesler
P1
48.7%
56.5%
P2
48.3%
55.9%
P3
49.8%
56.1%
OT
43.5%
46.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.8%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2019 | 3 | 14:12 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 2 | 17:36 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 1 | 13:39 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 3 | 13:15 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 3 | 13:08 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 3 | 06:07 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 2 | 17:21 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 2 | 17:06 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 2 | 12:45 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 2 | 10:34 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 2 | 08:28 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 2 | 06:00 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 1 | 15:09 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 1 | 13:12 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 1 | 10:08 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 1 | 05:46 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 5, 2016 | 3 | 00:09 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |