Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Domi wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 45.9% vs Kesler 52.9% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Domi 87.0%
Defensive zone
Domi 76.3%
Neutral zone
Domi 78.0%
Result
Max Domi favored at 78.4%
78.4%
21.6%
Domi
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
12
(17 meetings)
5
12
Domi
Kesler
Last 10: Domi 3-7 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Domi
Kesler
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
5
Domi
Kesler
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
6
Domi
Kesler
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (345)
55.2% (567)
-11.4%
Power Play
50.0% (66)
54.9% (51)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
45.0% (131)
+55.0%
On penalty kill, Domi has a +55.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Domi is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Domi shoots left. Kesler is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Home / Away
Domi
Kesler
Home
44.0% (241)
55.7% (388)
Away
46.2% (171)
50.8% (362)
By Period
Domi
Kesler
P1
41.7%
56.3%
P2
48.9%
52.5%
P3
43.9%
52.6%
OT
50.0%
35.3%
Final 5 min
42.3%
60.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
44.9%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2018 | 1 | 13:39 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 3 | 13:15 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 3 | 13:08 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 3 | 06:07 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 2 | 17:21 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 2 | 17:06 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 2 | 12:45 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 2 | 10:34 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 2 | 08:28 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 2 | 06:00 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 1 | 15:09 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 1 | 13:12 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 1 | 10:08 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 1 | 05:46 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |