Scouting Report
Max Domi holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Domi on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Domi wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 48.8% vs Gagner 46.0% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 59.0%
Defensive zone
Domi 64.6%
Neutral zone
Domi 63.1%
Result
Max Domi favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
Domi
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Domi
Gagner
Last 6: Domi 4-2 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Domi
Gagner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Domi
2
1
Domi
Gagner
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
1
0
Domi
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (4,232)
45.4% (4,699)
+2.8%
Power Play
52.7% (622)
51.5% (928)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (41)
35.0% (226)
+13.8%
On penalty kill, Domi has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Domi is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,608).
Domi shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Domi
Gagner
Home
49.7% (2,572)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
47.7% (2,323)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Domi
Gagner
P1
48.8%
44.6%
P2
48.0%
46.1%
P3
49.8%
47.3%
OT
42.6%
42.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
40.0%▼
50.0%
48.7%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 15:37 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 13:03 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 12:14 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| May 7, 2021 | 2 | 18:48 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 2 | 00:24 | Defensive | Max Domi |