Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Domi on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Domi wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 48.8% vs Johnson 53.7% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 57.1%
Defensive zone
Johnson 58.4%
Neutral zone
Johnson 63.0%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
Domi
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Domi
Johnson
Last 9: Domi 5-4 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Domi
Johnson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Domi
Johnson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
3
1
Domi
Johnson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (363)
55.3% (284)
-7.1%
Power Play
55.6% (27)
50.0% (26)
+5.6%
On even strength, Johnson has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Domi is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (123).
Domi shoots left. Johnson is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Home / Away
Domi
Johnson
Home
51.5% (227)
57.4% (162)
Away
44.4% (169)
52.0% (148)
By Period
Domi
Johnson
P1
49.2%
51.5%
P2
45.7%
61.8%
P3
51.7%
47.4%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.5%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2021 | 3 | 00:37 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 04:14 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 00:53 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 05:35 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 13:09 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 1 | 07:04 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 1 | 06:51 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 2 | 02:52 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |