Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Pacioretty wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pacioretty 46.4% vs Hertl 51.4% (-11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pacioretty 65.1%
Defensive zone
Hertl 67.8%
Neutral zone
Hertl 55.8%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Pacioretty
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Pacioretty
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pacioretty
1
0
Pacioretty
Hertl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Pacioretty
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pacioretty
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
40.6% (32)
51.7% (869)
-11.1%
Power Play
38.1% (21)
55.7% (176)
-17.6%
On power play, Hertl has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Pacioretty is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (23).
Pacioretty shoots left. Hertl is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Pacioretty
Hertl
Home
42.9% (28)
51.8% (583)
Away
36.0% (25)
51.2% (600)
By Period
Pacioretty
Hertl
P1
42.1%
52.5%
P2
47.1%
50.9%
P3
28.6%
51.0%
OT
33.3%
53.3%
Final 5 min
37.5%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pacioretty
40.0%▼
48.0%
39.6%
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2019 | 1 | 06:54 | Offensive | Max Pacioretty |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 3 | 04:09 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |