Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.2% vs 41.8%). Sasson wins 41.1% vs right-shot opponents — Marner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sasson 43.8% vs Marner 43.1% (+0.4%)
Offensive zone
Marner 54.8%
Defensive zone
Sasson 50.5%
Neutral zone
Marner 50.3%
Result
Mitch Marner favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Sasson
Marner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sasson
Marner
Edge
Even Strength
42.2% (374)
42.2% (462)
+0.0%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
55.6% (18)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
35.4% (65)
-35.4%
On penalty kill, Marner has a +35.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marner shoots right. Sasson is 41.1% vs right-shot opponents (129).
Sasson shoots left. Marner is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (372).
Home / Away
Sasson
Marner
Home
38.8% (160)
38.2% (293)
Away
44.5% (236)
46.0% (252)
By Period
Sasson
Marner
P1
43.8%
39.1%
P2
38.8%
41.1%
P3
44.5%
47.1%
Final 5 min
44.9%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sasson
38.0%▼
43.5%
42.2%
Marner
48.0%▲
40.0%
41.8%