Scouting Report
Max Talbot holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Talbot on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jarnkrok wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Talbot shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 46.7% vs Talbot 48.8% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 66.2%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 56.8%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 50.0%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Jarnkrok
Talbot
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Jarnkrok
Talbot
Last 6: Jarnkrok 2-4 Talbot
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
1
2
Jarnkrok
Talbot
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jarnkrok
Talbot
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Talbot
0
1
Jarnkrok
Talbot
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Talbot
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (601)
46.2% (119)
+0.9%
Power Play
50.0% (18)
75.0% (4)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (22)
51.4% (35)
-33.2%
On penalty kill, Talbot has a +33.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Talbot shoots left. Jarnkrok is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (437).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Talbot is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (70).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Talbot
Home
44.5% (362)
43.5% (85)
Away
48.4% (279)
53.4% (73)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Talbot
P1
48.5%
46.5%
P2
45.9%
46.0%
P3
44.7%
51.9%
Final 5 min
50.8%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
52.0%▲
48.5%
46.2%
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2014 | 3 | 15:45 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 3 | 13:20 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 2 | 10:06 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 2 | 02:30 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 2 | 02:26 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 1 | 01:12 | Defensive | Max Talbot |