Scouting Report
Mike Fisher holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Talbot on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Talbot 47.0% vs Fisher 51.5% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fisher 86.7%
Defensive zone
Fisher 67.5%
Neutral zone
Fisher 74.9%
Result
Mike Fisher favored at 74.1%
25.9%
74.1%
Talbot
Fisher
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Talbot
Fisher
Last 8: Talbot 5-3 Fisher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
0
2
Talbot
Fisher
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
4
0
Talbot
Fisher
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Talbot
Fisher
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Talbot
Fisher
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (1,738)
51.4% (6,100)
-3.1%
Power Play
49.0% (51)
53.8% (1,126)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (631)
48.8% (781)
-6.5%
On penalty kill, Fisher has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fisher shoots right. Talbot is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (895).
Talbot shoots left. Fisher is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,543).
Home / Away
Talbot
Fisher
Home
48.0% (1,219)
52.4% (4,113)
Away
45.8% (1,215)
50.6% (3,922)
By Period
Talbot
Fisher
P1
48.7%
49.6%
P2
43.5%
52.8%
P3
48.6%
52.2%
OT
45.0%
49.6%
Final 5 min
46.9%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
46.9%
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2015 | 2 | 02:19 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 3 | 19:02 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 2 | 06:04 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 1 | 04:10 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 1 | 04:00 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 2 | 15:18 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 2 | 00:36 | Defensive | Max Talbot |