Scouting Report
Mike Richards holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Talbot wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Richards shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Talbot 47.0% vs Richards 50.5% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Richards leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 61.7%
Defensive zone
Talbot 67.2%
Neutral zone
Talbot 56.5%
Result
Max Talbot favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Talbot
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
10
(19 meetings)
9
10
Talbot
Richards
Last 10: Talbot 6-4 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
2
4
Talbot
Richards
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
3
1
Talbot
Richards
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
4
5
Talbot
Richards
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Talbot
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (1,738)
50.0% (3,722)
-1.7%
Power Play
49.0% (51)
54.6% (445)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (631)
51.4% (502)
-9.1%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Talbot is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,539).
Talbot shoots left. Richards is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,122).
Home / Away
Talbot
Richards
Home
48.0% (1,219)
50.8% (2,363)
Away
45.8% (1,215)
50.3% (2,336)
By Period
Talbot
Richards
P1
48.7%
49.6%
P2
43.5%
52.3%
P3
48.6%
49.3%
OT
45.0%
58.0%
Final 5 min
46.9%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
46.9%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2011 | 3 | 01:36 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 2 | 06:39 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 1 | 04:52 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 3 | 16:08 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 3 | 11:22 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 2 | 13:00 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 1 | 12:22 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 2 | 03:06 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 1 | 04:55 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Dec 14, 2010 | 2 | 18:26 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Dec 14, 2010 | 1 | 19:57 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 3 | 09:05 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 1 | 15:20 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 3 | 04:37 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 2 | 11:23 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 2 | 09:31 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 1 | 11:31 | Neutral | Mike Richards |