Scouting Report
Mike Richards holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Talbot wins 44.8% vs left-shot opponents — Richards shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Talbot 45.1% vs Richards 50.5% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 81.0%
Defensive zone
Richards 56.7%
Neutral zone
Richards 59.9%
Result
Mike Richards favored at 67.7%
32.3%
67.7%
Talbot
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Talbot
Richards
Last 5: Talbot 3-2 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Talbot
Richards
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
1
0
Talbot
Richards
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Talbot
Richards
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Talbot
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (450)
50.0% (776)
-4.9%
Power Play
50.0% (20)
50.0% (130)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (163)
54.5% (145)
-14.0%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Talbot is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Talbot shoots left. Richards is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (765).
Home / Away
Talbot
Richards
Home
47.8% (295)
47.2% (549)
Away
41.4% (345)
54.1% (518)
By Period
Talbot
Richards
P1
47.0%
52.5%
P2
41.5%
50.9%
P3
44.5%
47.5%
OT
44.4%
59.1%
Final 5 min
46.0%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
44.4%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2011 | 3 | 01:36 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 2 | 06:39 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 1 | 04:52 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Richards |