Scouting Report
Mike Santorelli holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Santorelli on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Talbot 47.0% vs Santorelli 49.5% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Santorelli leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Santorelli 59.3%
Defensive zone
Talbot 74.9%
Neutral zone
Talbot 58.0%
Result
Max Talbot favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Talbot
Santorelli
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
11
(16 meetings)
5
11
Talbot
Santorelli
Last 10: Talbot 3-7 Santorelli
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Santorelli
2
6
Talbot
Santorelli
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
3
1
Talbot
Santorelli
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Santorelli
0
4
Talbot
Santorelli
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Talbot
Santorelli
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (1,738)
48.4% (1,835)
-0.1%
Power Play
49.0% (51)
56.0% (298)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (631)
48.5% (132)
-6.2%
On power play, Santorelli has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Santorelli shoots right. Talbot is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (895).
Talbot shoots left. Santorelli is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,556).
Home / Away
Talbot
Santorelli
Home
48.0% (1,219)
50.4% (1,079)
Away
45.8% (1,215)
48.5% (1,199)
By Period
Talbot
Santorelli
P1
48.7%
51.0%
P2
43.5%
49.7%
P3
48.6%
47.6%
OT
45.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.9%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
46.9%
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2011 | 2 | 19:10 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Nov 13, 2011 | 1 | 03:03 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 13, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 2 | 08:55 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 1 | 14:38 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Mar 27, 2011 | 3 | 18:30 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Mar 27, 2011 | 1 | 06:09 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Dec 22, 2010 | 3 | 07:05 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Dec 22, 2010 | 3 | 03:03 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Dec 22, 2010 | 3 | 02:29 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Nov 22, 2010 | 2 | 17:40 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 22, 2010 | 2 | 14:49 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 22, 2010 | 2 | 07:53 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 22, 2010 | 1 | 13:58 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |