Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Talbot 47.0% vs Bjugstad 48.9% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 53.1%
Defensive zone
Talbot 64.0%
Neutral zone
Talbot 56.5%
Result
Max Talbot favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Talbot
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Talbot
Bjugstad
Last 8: Talbot 3-5 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
2
Talbot
Bjugstad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Talbot
Bjugstad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
2
Talbot
Bjugstad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Talbot
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (1,738)
48.6% (6,634)
-0.3%
Power Play
49.0% (51)
55.2% (829)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (631)
44.3% (614)
-2.0%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Talbot is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (895).
Talbot shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,747).
Home / Away
Talbot
Bjugstad
Home
48.0% (1,219)
49.8% (4,020)
Away
45.8% (1,215)
48.1% (4,057)
By Period
Talbot
Bjugstad
P1
48.7%
49.0%
P2
43.5%
49.1%
P3
48.6%
48.4%
OT
45.0%
61.3%
Final 5 min
46.9%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
46.9%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2015 | 3 | 12:25 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 1 | 04:41 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 2 | 16:13 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Jan 24, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 1 | 10:32 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 1 | 08:11 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 1 | 07:57 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |