Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Talbot on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Talbot wins 44.8% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Talbot 45.1% vs Backstrom 50.9% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Talbot leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Backstrom 86.9%
Defensive zone
Talbot 60.4%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 65.7%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 67.6%
32.4%
67.6%
Talbot
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Talbot
Backstrom
Last 10: Talbot 5-5 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Talbot
Backstrom
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
3
1
Talbot
Backstrom
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Talbot
Backstrom
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Talbot
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (450)
49.0% (496)
-3.9%
Power Play
50.0% (20)
55.6% (151)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (163)
57.9% (38)
-17.4%
On penalty kill, Backstrom has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Talbot is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Talbot shoots left. Backstrom is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Talbot
Backstrom
Home
47.8% (295)
53.5% (368)
Away
41.4% (345)
48.3% (323)
By Period
Talbot
Backstrom
P1
47.0%
49.1%
P2
41.5%
51.0%
P3
44.5%
53.5%
OT
44.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
44.4%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2011 | 3 | 17:19 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 3 | 08:10 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 3 | 06:35 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 2 | 12:54 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 2 | 00:47 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 1 | 16:16 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 1 | 11:32 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 1 | 07:35 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 1 | 06:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 2 | 05:34 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 1 | 12:43 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 1 | 02:33 | Defensive | Max Talbot |