Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Talbot 48.6% vs Backstrom 51.3% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 53.7%
Defensive zone
Talbot 72.6%
Neutral zone
Talbot 53.4%
Result
Max Talbot favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Talbot
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Talbot
Backstrom
Last 6: Talbot 2-4 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
2
0
Talbot
Backstrom
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
4
Talbot
Backstrom
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Talbot
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (135)
51.2% (654)
-0.8%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
50.9% (110)
+49.1%
Penalty Kill
41.1% (56)
53.9% (76)
-12.8%
On power play, Talbot has a +49.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Talbot is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (131).
Talbot shoots left. Backstrom is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Talbot
Backstrom
Home
47.4% (97)
52.0% (400)
Away
48.4% (95)
50.9% (440)
By Period
Talbot
Backstrom
P1
57.1%
51.6%
P2
28.1%
51.1%
P3
57.4%
50.7%
OT
75.0%
65.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
47.9%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2013 | 2 | 18:42 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 31, 2013 | 1 | 15:52 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Feb 1, 2013 | 3 | 00:42 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 1, 2013 | 3 | 00:27 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 1, 2013 | 2 | 17:43 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 1, 2013 | 1 | 13:05 | Defensive | Max Talbot |