Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.9% vs 46.3%). Look for Talbot on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Talbot wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Jokinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Talbot 47.0% vs Jokinen 46.4% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Talbot leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Jokinen 67.7%
Defensive zone
Talbot 69.9%
Neutral zone
Talbot 54.2%
Result
Max Talbot favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Talbot
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Talbot
Jokinen
Last 10: Talbot 5-5 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
2
Talbot
Jokinen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
3
1
Talbot
Jokinen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Talbot
Jokinen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Talbot
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (1,738)
45.8% (3,924)
+2.5%
Power Play
49.0% (51)
50.8% (585)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (631)
42.9% (247)
-0.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Talbot is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,539).
Talbot shoots left. Jokinen is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,240).
Home / Away
Talbot
Jokinen
Home
48.0% (1,219)
47.4% (2,345)
Away
45.8% (1,215)
45.3% (2,443)
By Period
Talbot
Jokinen
P1
48.7%
45.6%
P2
43.5%
47.5%
P3
48.6%
45.4%
OT
45.0%
56.1%
Final 5 min
46.9%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
46.9%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2014 | 3 | 03:46 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 19, 2014 | 3 | 01:33 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 2 | 15:03 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 3 | 15:18 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 3 | 08:02 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 3 | 15:29 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 2 | 18:07 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 2 | 06:04 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 2 | 05:33 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 3 | 09:32 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 3 | 09:12 | Neutral | Max Talbot |