Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Talbot 48.8% vs Stastny 57.3% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 52.5%
Defensive zone
Talbot 51.2%
Neutral zone
Talbot 57.9%
Result
Max Talbot favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Talbot
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Talbot
Stastny
Last 7: Talbot 3-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
Talbot
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Talbot
Stastny
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Talbot
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (119)
57.6% (959)
-11.4%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
60.8% (125)
+14.2%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (35)
58.1% (74)
-6.7%
On power play, Talbot has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Talbot is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Talbot shoots left. Stastny is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (761).
Home / Away
Talbot
Stastny
Home
43.5% (85)
55.9% (590)
Away
53.4% (73)
60.0% (568)
By Period
Talbot
Stastny
P1
46.5%
59.6%
P2
46.0%
59.0%
P3
51.9%
55.3%
Final 5 min
39.0%
65.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
48.1%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 18:48 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 18:36 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 11:59 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 04:19 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 1 | 15:23 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 1 | 07:09 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 1 | 04:55 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |