Scouting Report
Ryan Carter holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Talbot wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Carter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Talbot 47.0% vs Carter 49.8% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Talbot 56.9%
Defensive zone
Talbot 68.7%
Neutral zone
Talbot 61.1%
Result
Max Talbot favored at 65.5%
65.5%
34.5%
Talbot
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Talbot
Carter
Last 7: Talbot 2-5 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Talbot
Carter
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
3
Talbot
Carter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Talbot
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (1,738)
50.1% (978)
-1.8%
Power Play
49.0% (51)
60.0% (15)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (631)
46.4% (138)
-4.1%
On power play, Carter has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots left. Talbot is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,539).
Talbot shoots left. Carter is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (734).
Home / Away
Talbot
Carter
Home
48.0% (1,219)
49.0% (506)
Away
45.8% (1,215)
50.3% (632)
By Period
Talbot
Carter
P1
48.7%
50.5%
P2
43.5%
48.9%
P3
48.6%
50.0%
OT
45.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.9%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
46.9%
Carter
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2012 | 1 | 05:13 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 01:51 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 2 | 14:37 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 2 | 08:59 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 2 | 03:22 | Defensive | Ryan Carter |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 2 | 03:06 | Defensive | Ryan Carter |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 1 | 15:00 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |