Scouting Report
Ryan Carter holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Talbot wins 44.8% vs left-shot opponents — Carter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Talbot 45.1% vs Carter 49.8% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Talbot 54.3%
Defensive zone
Talbot 67.2%
Neutral zone
Talbot 59.1%
Result
Max Talbot favored at 64.5%
64.5%
35.5%
Talbot
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Talbot
Carter
Last 6: Talbot 2-4 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Talbot
Carter
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Talbot
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Talbot
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (450)
49.7% (390)
-4.6%
Power Play
50.0% (20)
57.1% (7)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (163)
48.5% (33)
-8.0%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots left. Talbot is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Talbot shoots left. Carter is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (292).
Home / Away
Talbot
Carter
Home
47.8% (295)
51.5% (171)
Away
41.4% (345)
48.7% (261)
By Period
Talbot
Carter
P1
47.0%
50.7%
P2
41.5%
48.4%
P3
44.5%
50.4%
Final 5 min
46.0%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
44.4%
Carter
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2012 | 1 | 05:13 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 01:51 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 2 | 14:37 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 2 | 08:59 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 2 | 03:22 | Defensive | Ryan Carter |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 2 | 03:06 | Defensive | Ryan Carter |