Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.9% vs 47.3%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Talbot 47.0% vs Lafferty 47.5% (-0.4%)
Offensive zone
Talbot 52.2%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 54.5%
Neutral zone
Talbot 51.3%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Talbot
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Talbot
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (1,738)
47.9% (1,393)
+0.4%
Power Play
49.0% (51)
45.7% (46)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (631)
43.5% (184)
-1.2%
On power play, Talbot has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Talbot is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (895).
Talbot shoots left. Lafferty is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,234).
Home / Away
Talbot
Lafferty
Home
48.0% (1,219)
47.0% (825)
Away
45.8% (1,215)
47.6% (798)
By Period
Talbot
Lafferty
P1
48.7%
49.3%
P2
43.5%
43.1%
P3
48.6%
49.6%
OT
45.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
46.9%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
46.9%
Lafferty
48.0%▼
50.0%
47.3%