Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Talbot wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Talbot 48.6% vs Stamkos 49.6% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 65.1%
Defensive zone
Talbot 73.4%
Neutral zone
Talbot 56.1%
Result
Max Talbot favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Talbot
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Talbot
Stamkos
Last 10: Talbot 4-6 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Talbot
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Talbot
Stamkos
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Talbot
Stamkos
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Talbot
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (135)
48.1% (669)
+2.3%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
58.2% (110)
+41.8%
Penalty Kill
41.1% (56)
50.0% (40)
-8.9%
On power play, Talbot has a +41.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Talbot is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (61).
Talbot shoots left. Stamkos is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Home / Away
Talbot
Stamkos
Home
47.4% (97)
52.0% (402)
Away
48.4% (95)
47.2% (417)
By Period
Talbot
Stamkos
P1
57.1%
46.3%
P2
28.1%
52.4%
P3
57.4%
50.2%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
47.9%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2013 | 3 | 12:35 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 3 | 07:05 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 3 | 01:00 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 2 | 16:21 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 2 | 09:33 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 2 | 04:21 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 2 | 01:44 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 1 | 13:11 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 1 | 10:51 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |