Scouting Report
Vincent Lecavalier holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Talbot on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Talbot 48.8% vs Lecavalier 50.8% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Talbot leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Lecavalier 86.1%
Defensive zone
Lecavalier 58.0%
Neutral zone
Lecavalier 65.8%
Result
Vincent Lecavalier favored at 69.1%
30.9%
69.1%
Talbot
Lecavalier
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
4
(15 meetings)
11
4
Talbot
Lecavalier
Last 10: Talbot 8-2 Lecavalier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
3
1
Talbot
Lecavalier
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
3
1
Talbot
Lecavalier
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Talbot
5
2
Talbot
Lecavalier
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Talbot
Lecavalier
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (642)
50.1% (845)
+0.4%
Power Play
33.3% (18)
52.5% (280)
-19.2%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (207)
56.0% (25)
-12.5%
On power play, Lecavalier has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lecavalier shoots left. Talbot is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (556).
Talbot shoots left. Lecavalier is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Home / Away
Talbot
Lecavalier
Home
49.9% (427)
52.9% (677)
Away
47.4% (447)
48.1% (484)
By Period
Talbot
Lecavalier
P1
48.4%
53.4%
P2
48.5%
50.7%
P3
48.8%
48.8%
OT
66.7%
48.1%
Final 5 min
46.4%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
48.6%
Lecavalier
52.0%▲
46.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2011 | 3 | 12:29 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 3 | 03:14 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 2 | 11:45 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 1 | 13:47 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 1 | 13:42 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Jan 5, 2011 | 2 | 16:04 | Defensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Jan 5, 2011 | 2 | 15:47 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Jan 5, 2011 | 2 | 15:42 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Oct 27, 2010 | 3 | 19:36 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Oct 27, 2010 | 3 | 19:29 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Oct 27, 2010 | 3 | 02:50 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Oct 27, 2010 | 2 | 01:17 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Oct 27, 2010 | 1 | 16:40 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Oct 27, 2010 | 1 | 10:04 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Oct 27, 2010 | 1 | 04:42 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |