Scouting Report
Vincent Lecavalier holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lecavalier on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Talbot wins 42.3% vs left-shot opponents — Lecavalier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Talbot 48.1% vs Lecavalier 50.7% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lecavalier 56.2%
Defensive zone
Talbot 74.4%
Neutral zone
Talbot 61.0%
Result
Max Talbot favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Talbot
Lecavalier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Talbot
Lecavalier
Last 7: Talbot 2-5 Lecavalier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lecavalier
1
4
Talbot
Lecavalier
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
1
0
Talbot
Lecavalier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lecavalier
0
1
Talbot
Lecavalier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Talbot
Lecavalier
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (285)
49.1% (489)
+0.4%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
59.3% (59)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (53)
59.5% (37)
-23.7%
On penalty kill, Lecavalier has a +23.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lecavalier shoots left. Talbot is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Talbot shoots left. Lecavalier is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (373).
Home / Away
Talbot
Lecavalier
Home
47.8% (203)
52.4% (317)
Away
47.2% (142)
48.9% (268)
By Period
Talbot
Lecavalier
P1
52.5%
54.5%
P2
38.3%
49.0%
P3
52.3%
48.7%
OT
0.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
47.5%
Lecavalier
52.0%▲
46.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2016 | 3 | 18:02 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 3 | 07:45 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 3 | 04:44 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 3 | 04:37 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 2 | 10:36 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 2 | 05:13 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 1 | 08:55 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |