Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lapierre on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 52.9% vs Lapierre 50.5% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 75.0%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 85.3%
Neutral zone
Lapierre 56.7%
Result
Maxim Lapierre favored at 62.7%
37.3%
62.7%
Kopitar
Lapierre
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Kopitar
Lapierre
Last 8: Kopitar 3-5 Lapierre
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
1
Kopitar
Lapierre
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
1
4
Kopitar
Lapierre
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Lapierre
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (700)
52.9% (416)
+0.8%
Power Play
51.7% (120)
54.5% (11)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (68)
41.7% (115)
+9.8%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lapierre shoots right. Kopitar is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Kopitar shoots left. Lapierre is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Lapierre
Home
55.3% (414)
48.7% (277)
Away
51.5% (474)
52.5% (265)
By Period
Kopitar
Lapierre
P1
54.4%
56.6%
P2
54.0%
43.9%
P3
50.7%
52.7%
OT
70.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.5%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
53.3%
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2013 | 3 | 19:55 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 3 | 16:47 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 3 | 06:44 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 2 | 07:59 | Offensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 1 | 06:40 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 2 | 06:04 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 2 | 05:33 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 1 | 00:39 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |