Scouting Report
Maxim Lapierre holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Jarnkrok on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jarnkrok wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Lapierre shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 46.7% vs Lapierre 52.1% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 62.6%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 84.5%
Neutral zone
Lapierre 56.2%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Jarnkrok
Lapierre
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Jarnkrok
Lapierre
Last 5: Jarnkrok 3-2 Lapierre
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jarnkrok
Lapierre
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
2
1
Jarnkrok
Lapierre
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Lapierre
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (601)
53.9% (440)
-6.8%
Power Play
50.0% (18)
80.0% (5)
-30.0%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (22)
46.7% (137)
-28.5%
On power play, Lapierre has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lapierre shoots right. Jarnkrok is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (204).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Lapierre is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Lapierre
Home
44.5% (362)
59.2% (260)
Away
48.4% (279)
46.9% (322)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Lapierre
P1
48.5%
52.0%
P2
45.9%
51.5%
P3
44.7%
53.3%
OT
16.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
52.0%▲
48.5%
46.2%
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2015 | 3 | 08:20 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 30, 2014 | 2 | 17:44 | Offensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Dec 30, 2014 | 1 | 18:05 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 2 | 03:41 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 1 | 03:45 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |