Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.8% vs 50.9%). Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 50.6% vs Thompson 50.8% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Lapierre 59.3%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 56.7%
Neutral zone
Lapierre 56.7%
Result
Maxim Lapierre favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Lapierre
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Lapierre
Thompson
Last 10: Lapierre 3-7 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
2
Lapierre
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Lapierre
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
4
Lapierre
Thompson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (527)
52.2% (785)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
31.8% (66)
45.7% (175)
-13.9%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Lapierre is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (404).
Lapierre shoots right. Thompson is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Home / Away
Lapierre
Thompson
Home
51.8% (309)
54.1% (475)
Away
49.6% (284)
47.9% (499)
By Period
Lapierre
Thompson
P1
51.0%
50.0%
P2
57.2%
49.5%
P3
44.1%
54.0%
OT
0.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
50.4%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
50.8%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2014 | 3 | 03:47 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 1 | 14:49 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 1 | 11:44 | Offensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 1 | 05:40 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 1 | 02:18 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 3 | 11:38 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 3 | 04:35 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 2 | 01:43 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |