Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.4% vs 50.8%). Lapierre wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 51.3% vs Dowd 50.8% (+0.6%)
Offensive zone
Lapierre 74.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 57.1%
Neutral zone
Dowd 53.3%
Result
Maxim Lapierre favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Lapierre
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (2,085)
52.6% (5,850)
+0.3%
Power Play
53.1% (32)
56.1% (164)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (415)
43.9% (1,600)
-0.8%
On power play, Dowd has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Lapierre is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (808).
Lapierre shoots right. Dowd is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,600).
Home / Away
Lapierre
Dowd
Home
53.0% (1,250)
52.1% (3,753)
Away
49.8% (1,289)
49.6% (3,862)
By Period
Lapierre
Dowd
P1
52.5%
51.9%
P2
50.7%
50.7%
P3
51.1%
50.1%
OT
41.7%
45.9%
Final 5 min
51.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
51.4%
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
50.8%