Scouting Report
Maxim Lapierre holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 51.7% vs Bonino 44.2% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Bonino 87.8%
Defensive zone
Bonino 53.5%
Neutral zone
Bonino 66.3%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 73.2%
26.8%
73.2%
Lapierre
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Lapierre
Bonino
Last 10: Lapierre 4-6 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
4
Lapierre
Bonino
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
2
1
Lapierre
Bonino
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lapierre
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (422)
43.3% (423)
+7.9%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
45.5% (22)
+21.2%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (54)
20.0% (5)
+37.4%
On penalty kill, Lapierre has a +37.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Lapierre is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Lapierre shoots right. Bonino is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Home / Away
Lapierre
Bonino
Home
54.4% (239)
44.1% (222)
Away
49.8% (243)
41.8% (232)
By Period
Lapierre
Bonino
P1
49.4%
43.9%
P2
52.8%
43.4%
P3
54.2%
41.6%
Final 5 min
55.5%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
52.1%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2012 | 3 | 12:47 | Offensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 2 | 14:32 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 15, 2012 | 3 | 15:22 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 15, 2012 | 3 | 07:18 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 15, 2012 | 2 | 05:49 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 3 | 02:05 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 2 | 15:21 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 2 | 06:17 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 1 | 04:47 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 1 | 04:35 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |