Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.9% vs 50.9%). Look for Spaling on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 50.7% vs Spaling 50.8% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lapierre 52.2%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 51.2%
Neutral zone
Lapierre 51.9%
Result
Maxim Lapierre favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Lapierre
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lapierre
Spaling
Last 5: Lapierre 2-3 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
1
0
Lapierre
Spaling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
1
2
Lapierre
Spaling
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
0
1
Lapierre
Spaling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (280)
51.6% (353)
+2.3%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
50.0% (8)
-20.0%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (43)
49.3% (136)
-14.4%
On power play, Spaling has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Lapierre is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (239).
Lapierre shoots right. Spaling is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (166).
Home / Away
Lapierre
Spaling
Home
50.3% (165)
49.2% (260)
Away
51.4% (175)
52.7% (237)
By Period
Lapierre
Spaling
P1
53.9%
55.2%
P2
46.1%
49.7%
P3
52.7%
47.7%
Final 5 min
43.9%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
50.9%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2011 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 3 | 01:17 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 5, 2011 | 3 | 19:40 | Offensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Jan 5, 2011 | 2 | 07:27 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 5, 2011 | 1 | 11:32 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |