Scouting Report
Maxim Lapierre holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Elias on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 51.3% vs Elias 42.7% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Elias 73.7%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 76.2%
Neutral zone
Elias 55.1%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 61.2%
38.8%
61.2%
Lapierre
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Lapierre
Elias
Last 8: Lapierre 4-4 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Elias
2
4
Lapierre
Elias
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
2
0
Lapierre
Elias
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (2,085)
42.3% (2,591)
+10.6%
Power Play
53.1% (32)
48.4% (405)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (415)
36.0% (367)
+7.1%
On even strength, Lapierre has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Lapierre is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,731).
Lapierre shoots right. Elias is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,179).
Home / Away
Lapierre
Elias
Home
53.0% (1,250)
43.2% (1,683)
Away
49.8% (1,289)
41.7% (1,725)
By Period
Lapierre
Elias
P1
52.5%
41.1%
P2
50.7%
43.1%
P3
51.1%
43.0%
OT
41.7%
43.2%
Final 5 min
51.9%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
51.4%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2014 | 3 | 07:50 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 3 | 09:24 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 2 | 13:54 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 2 | 13:49 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 1 | 13:32 | Offensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 1 | 10:10 | Offensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 1 | 17:39 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 1 | 04:08 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |