Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 51.3% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Lapierre 77.2%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 66.5%
Neutral zone
Lapierre 69.2%
Result
Maxim Lapierre favored at 70.6%
70.6%
29.4%
Lapierre
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
12
(17 meetings)
5
12
Lapierre
Gaustad
Last 10: Lapierre 4-6 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
4
1
Lapierre
Gaustad
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
6
Lapierre
Gaustad
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
5
Lapierre
Gaustad
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (2,085)
58.2% (4,334)
-5.3%
Power Play
53.1% (32)
65.4% (188)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (415)
54.8% (1,290)
-11.7%
On power play, Gaustad has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Lapierre is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,731).
Lapierre shoots right. Gaustad is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,052).
Home / Away
Lapierre
Gaustad
Home
53.0% (1,250)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
49.8% (1,289)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Lapierre
Gaustad
P1
52.5%
58.2%
P2
50.7%
56.4%
P3
51.1%
58.3%
OT
41.7%
66.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
51.4%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2015 | 3 | 19:42 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 1, 2015 | 3 | 18:44 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 1, 2015 | 2 | 00:56 | Offensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Feb 1, 2015 | 1 | 05:21 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 30, 2014 | 1 | 01:49 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 3 | 10:43 | Offensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 2 | 13:06 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 2 | 09:17 | Offensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 2 | 10:06 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 2 | 02:02 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 03:02 | Offensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 07:37 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 1 | 01:18 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 1 | 01:09 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 1 | 01:02 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 1 | 18:40 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 1 | 05:38 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |