Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 51.3% vs Stastny 55.1% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 16-2 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 55.2%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 89.8%
Neutral zone
Lapierre 63.9%
Result
Maxim Lapierre favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Lapierre
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
16
(18 meetings)
2
16
Lapierre
Stastny
Last 10: Lapierre 1-9 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
10
Lapierre
Stastny
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
3
Lapierre
Stastny
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
3
Lapierre
Stastny
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (2,085)
54.6% (10,616)
-1.7%
Power Play
53.1% (32)
59.1% (1,994)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (415)
52.9% (1,119)
-9.8%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Lapierre is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,731).
Lapierre shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Home / Away
Lapierre
Stastny
Home
53.0% (1,250)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
49.8% (1,289)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Lapierre
Stastny
P1
52.5%
56.3%
P2
50.7%
55.4%
P3
51.1%
53.5%
OT
41.7%
62.9%
Final 5 min
51.9%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
51.4%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2015 | 3 | 11:32 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 2 | 15:40 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 2 | 03:11 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 2 | 17:02 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 13:05 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 11:07 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 1 | 19:36 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 3 | 08:55 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 3 | 02:30 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 30, 2013 | 1 | 19:17 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 28, 2012 | 2 | 19:17 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 1 | 17:10 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 2 | 12:57 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 2 | 10:44 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 1 | 18:53 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 16, 2011 | 3 | 09:32 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 16, 2011 | 1 | 04:12 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 3 | 15:12 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |