Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 51.7% vs Stastny 55.1% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 67.9%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 84.5%
Neutral zone
Lapierre 53.1%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Lapierre
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Lapierre
Stastny
Last 5: Lapierre 1-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
3
Lapierre
Stastny
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
1
0
Lapierre
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Lapierre
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (422)
55.0% (1,136)
-3.8%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
57.5% (200)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (54)
53.1% (64)
+4.3%
On power play, Lapierre has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Lapierre is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Lapierre shoots right. Stastny is 60.5% vs right-shot opponents (456).
Home / Away
Lapierre
Stastny
Home
54.4% (239)
58.5% (744)
Away
49.8% (243)
52.1% (680)
By Period
Lapierre
Stastny
P1
49.4%
57.9%
P2
52.8%
54.9%
P3
54.2%
53.0%
Final 5 min
55.5%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
52.1%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2012 | 2 | 19:17 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 1 | 17:10 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 2 | 12:57 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 2 | 10:44 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 1 | 18:53 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |