Scouting Report
Maxim Lapierre holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Cervenka on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 50.5% vs Cervenka 48.0% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cervenka 63.9%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 86.8%
Neutral zone
Lapierre 68.8%
Result
Maxim Lapierre favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Lapierre
Cervenka
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Lapierre
Cervenka
Last 6: Lapierre 4-2 Cervenka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cervenka
1
2
Lapierre
Cervenka
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
2
0
Lapierre
Cervenka
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lapierre
1
0
Lapierre
Cervenka
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
Cervenka
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (416)
40.9% (93)
+12.0%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
66.7% (30)
-12.2%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (115)
0.0% (2)
+41.7%
On penalty kill, Lapierre has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cervenka shoots left. Lapierre is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Lapierre shoots right. Cervenka is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (42).
Home / Away
Lapierre
Cervenka
Home
48.7% (277)
47.5% (59)
Away
52.5% (265)
45.5% (66)
By Period
Lapierre
Cervenka
P1
56.6%
32.7%
P2
43.9%
50.0%
P3
52.7%
62.5%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
50.6%
Cervenka
46.0%▬
46.4%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2013 | 2 | 12:19 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 2 | 07:13 | Offensive | Roman Cervenka |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 1 | 18:01 | Offensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 1 | 14:40 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 1 | 07:49 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 1 | 00:25 | Offensive | Roman Cervenka |