Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lapierre on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Lapierre wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 51.3% vs Kesler 55.9% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 91.9%
Defensive zone
Kesler 66.0%
Neutral zone
Kesler 82.5%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 71.2%
28.8%
71.2%
Lapierre
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Lapierre
Kesler
Last 5: Lapierre 5-0 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
1
0
Lapierre
Kesler
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
4
0
Lapierre
Kesler
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (2,085)
56.4% (8,095)
-3.5%
Power Play
53.1% (32)
60.7% (1,437)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (415)
50.5% (1,908)
-7.4%
On power play, Kesler has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Lapierre is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (808).
Lapierre shoots right. Kesler is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,497).
Home / Away
Lapierre
Kesler
Home
53.0% (1,250)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
49.8% (1,289)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Lapierre
Kesler
P1
52.5%
56.5%
P2
50.7%
55.9%
P3
51.1%
56.1%
OT
41.7%
46.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
51.4%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2015 | 1 | 11:55 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 3 | 18:30 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 3 | 17:12 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 3 | 07:03 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 1 | 07:47 | Offensive | Maxim Lapierre |