Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lapierre on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 52.1% vs Kesler 56.0% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 84.6%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 51.4%
Neutral zone
Kesler 75.0%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Lapierre
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Lapierre
Kesler
Last 5: Lapierre 5-0 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
1
0
Lapierre
Kesler
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
4
0
Lapierre
Kesler
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (440)
57.4% (1,185)
-3.5%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
58.0% (243)
+22.0%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (137)
49.2% (236)
-2.5%
On power play, Lapierre has a +22.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Lapierre is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Lapierre shoots right. Kesler is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (589).
Home / Away
Lapierre
Kesler
Home
59.2% (260)
58.5% (793)
Away
46.9% (322)
54.3% (871)
By Period
Lapierre
Kesler
P1
52.0%
57.0%
P2
51.5%
55.4%
P3
53.3%
56.7%
OT
75.0%
54.8%
Final 5 min
52.3%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
52.4%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2015 | 1 | 11:55 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 3 | 18:30 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 3 | 17:12 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 3 | 07:03 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 1 | 07:47 | Offensive | Maxim Lapierre |