Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lapierre on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 50.5% vs O'Reilly 52.3% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Lapierre leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 82.0%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 69.6%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 54.6%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Lapierre
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Lapierre
O'Reilly
Last 10: Lapierre 6-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Lapierre
O'Reilly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
2
1
Lapierre
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lapierre
3
1
Lapierre
O'Reilly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (416)
53.6% (392)
-0.7%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
47.2% (36)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (115)
50.0% (28)
-8.3%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Lapierre is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Lapierre shoots right. O'Reilly is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Home / Away
Lapierre
O'Reilly
Home
48.7% (277)
54.4% (237)
Away
52.5% (265)
51.1% (219)
By Period
Lapierre
O'Reilly
P1
56.6%
50.3%
P2
43.9%
51.4%
P3
52.7%
55.7%
OT
33.3%
71.4%
Final 5 min
54.8%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
50.6%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2013 | 2 | 06:52 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 19:03 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 18:36 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 16:32 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 11:32 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 3 | 19:15 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 3 | 15:28 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 2 | 19:47 | Offensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 2 | 11:44 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |