Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 52.1% vs O'Reilly 53.2% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 57.4%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 72.4%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 54.1%
Result
Maxim Lapierre favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Lapierre
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Lapierre
O'Reilly
Last 6: Lapierre 2-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
3
Lapierre
O'Reilly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
2
0
Lapierre
O'Reilly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Lapierre
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (440)
52.7% (900)
+1.2%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
55.6% (225)
+24.4%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (137)
54.5% (209)
-7.8%
On power play, Lapierre has a +24.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Lapierre is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Lapierre shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (527).
Home / Away
Lapierre
O'Reilly
Home
59.2% (260)
55.1% (693)
Away
46.9% (322)
51.6% (641)
By Period
Lapierre
O'Reilly
P1
52.0%
51.5%
P2
51.5%
54.7%
P3
53.3%
52.7%
OT
75.0%
69.7%
Final 5 min
52.3%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
52.4%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2014 | 2 | 06:13 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 3 | 10:34 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 19:31 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 16:49 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 00:35 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 3 | 05:08 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |