Scouting Report
Maxim Lapierre holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lapierre on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 50.5% vs Smyth 45.4% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Lapierre leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Smyth 57.0%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 86.4%
Neutral zone
Lapierre 74.6%
Result
Maxim Lapierre favored at 72.2%
72.2%
27.8%
Lapierre
Smyth
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Lapierre
Smyth
Last 10: Lapierre 6-4 Smyth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smyth
1
2
Lapierre
Smyth
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
5
1
Lapierre
Smyth
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smyth
0
1
Lapierre
Smyth
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
Smyth
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (416)
43.2% (155)
+9.7%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
50.0% (28)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (115)
31.6% (19)
+10.1%
On penalty kill, Lapierre has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smyth shoots left. Lapierre is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Lapierre shoots right. Smyth is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Home / Away
Lapierre
Smyth
Home
48.7% (277)
42.2% (102)
Away
52.5% (265)
44.0% (100)
By Period
Lapierre
Smyth
P1
56.6%
50.8%
P2
43.9%
41.3%
P3
52.7%
39.0%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
41.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
50.6%
Smyth
50.0%▬
50.5%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2013 | 3 | 18:58 | Neutral | Ryan Smyth |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 3 | 18:52 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 3 | 18:42 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 3 | 08:42 | Defensive | Ryan Smyth |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 2 | 07:56 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 3 | 14:25 | Offensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 3 | 13:50 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 3 | 06:17 | Offensive | Ryan Smyth |
| Jan 20, 2013 | 3 | 13:46 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Jan 20, 2013 | 2 | 07:59 | Offensive | Ryan Smyth |