Scouting Report
Maxim Lapierre holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Plekanec on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 51.7% vs Plekanec 49.2% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Plekanec 69.2%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 54.4%
Neutral zone
Plekanec 59.6%
Result
Tomas Plekanec favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Lapierre
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Lapierre
Plekanec
Last 8: Lapierre 3-5 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
1
3
Lapierre
Plekanec
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
2
1
Lapierre
Plekanec
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Plekanec
0
1
Lapierre
Plekanec
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (422)
49.8% (1,095)
+1.4%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
49.4% (174)
+17.3%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (54)
47.3% (364)
+10.1%
On power play, Lapierre has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Lapierre is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Lapierre shoots right. Plekanec is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (637).
Home / Away
Lapierre
Plekanec
Home
54.4% (239)
49.4% (789)
Away
49.8% (243)
48.8% (889)
By Period
Lapierre
Plekanec
P1
49.4%
51.9%
P2
52.8%
48.8%
P3
54.2%
47.8%
Final 5 min
55.5%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
52.1%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2012 | 3 | 18:13 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 3 | 12:17 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 3 | 08:18 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 13:04 | Offensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 10:28 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 05:16 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 05:11 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 1 | 07:26 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |