Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lapierre wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 51.3% vs Bozak 53.4% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 64.8%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 79.4%
Neutral zone
Lapierre 57.5%
Result
Maxim Lapierre favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Lapierre
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Lapierre
Bozak
Last 8: Lapierre 2-6 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
3
Lapierre
Bozak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Lapierre
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lapierre
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (2,085)
53.7% (9,596)
-0.8%
Power Play
53.1% (32)
55.2% (1,990)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (415)
48.0% (1,094)
-4.9%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Lapierre is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (808).
Lapierre shoots right. Bozak is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,312).
Home / Away
Lapierre
Bozak
Home
53.0% (1,250)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
49.8% (1,289)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Lapierre
Bozak
P1
52.5%
53.2%
P2
50.7%
52.8%
P3
51.1%
54.5%
OT
41.7%
52.9%
Final 5 min
51.9%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
51.4%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2012 | 2 | 05:22 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 2 | 02:16 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 3 | 17:10 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 3 | 11:47 | Offensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 3 | 07:14 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 3 | 03:27 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 3 | 00:48 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 1 | 12:46 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |